GRM 2010 GRM 2011

Abstract Details

 
AUTHOR NAME
 
Family Name:
ashraf mohamed abd elhameed keshk
 
First Name:
ashraf
 
ABSTRACT OF PAPER
 
Title of Paper:
IRAQ AFTER THE 2011 US WITHDRAWAL: EFFECTS ON REGIONAL GULF SECURITY
 
Paper Proposal Text :
IRAQ AFTER THE 2011 US WITHDRAWAL: EFFECTS ON REGIONAL GULF SECURITY
Dr. Ashraf Muhammad Kishk
Senior Fellow, Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies
Abstract
Despite the existence of economic, political and social differences between Iraq the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, Iraq remains inextricably linked to Gulf security. Many potential Iraqi scenarios pose serious challenges to the Gulf countries, such as an Iraqi civil war, Iraqi partition or, in contrast, a rehabilitated and rearmed Iraq, especially in light of the issues between Iraq and Kuwait relating to the 1990 occupation that as yet remain unresolved.
1990 was a pivotal year in Iraq-Gulf relations, particularly those with Kuwait, and the 2011 US withdrawal, given domestic Iraqi and regional developments, raises the question of whether Iraq currently poses a threat to Gulf security or an opportunity for its enhancement. With this question in mind, this paper tackles three main issues.
First: the determinants of the Gulf’s perspective toward Iraq.
• Historical experience.
• Political, economic and social differences between the two sides.
• The nature of the GCC.
Second: the contents of the Gulf’s perspective toward Iraq.
• Political and security aspects of the perspective.
• Requirements for building trust between the two sides.
Third: does Iraq represent an opportunity or a threat for Gulf regional security?
• The proposed framework for regional cooperation between Iraq and the Gulf countries.
• The effects of such a framework on Gulf regional security.
 
 
 

WITH THE GENEROUS SUPPORT OF